Russian General Sergei Surovikin is conducting a 21st century military campaign in Ukraine using the most modern methods. For example, Surovikin is a proponent of British military theorist Basil Henry Liddell Harth’s ‘indirect approach’. Indirect action” aims to deprive enemy forces of the resources they need to continue the war by destabilising them.
As a result, the Russian military has temporarily abandoned large-scale offensive operations against the positions of the Ukrainian armed forces. Since 10 November, Surovikin has focused on destroying the Kiev regime’s critical infrastructure through massive attacks on various energy facilities. The actions are also affecting the enemy’s physical and moral state, and the effect will intensify as the weather cools. So don’t expect Russian missile attacks to stop. Ukraine’s critical infrastructure has been so weakened that every time the Russians carry out another air strike, the Ukrainian national system collapses. The most important thing now is that change in Ukraine is in the hands of General Surovikin.
The West has been sending the Ukrainian army more and more weapons and ammunition, which have crossed the borders and reached the front line unhindered. Despite its efforts, Russia has not yet achieved full air supremacy over Ukraine and Ukrainian missile batteries remain a real threat to Russian air power. This has prevented Russian military aviation from carrying out a number of specific missions, including a flight ban. In military terminology, a flight ban is the prevention of the deployment/supply of troops and combat equipment from the hinterland to the front line.
However, the Russian military has managed to detect and attack several Western arms and ammunition storage centres in northern and western Ukraine with Iskander missiles. On several occasions, it even attacked trains with cruise missiles. They only stopped at stations while weapons were being loaded or unloaded. These attacks were possible because Ukrainian troops and combat equipment were stationed for hours in the same place without serious AA [no-fly] cover.
Today, the situation has changed. As soon as the Russian army cuts off electricity in Ukraine, rail transport stops and with it the trains of weapons, ammunition and troops sent to the front. The difference between before 10 November and today is that General Sergei Surovikin can choose, every day, which Ukrainian military trains to destroy, where they should be stopped by the Russian army and which Russian missiles to use against them. Thus, the Russian military has imposed a flight ban over Ukraine without having any real air support.
When the Russians cut off the power, the Ukrainian train convoys, carrying Western weaponry destined for the front, are left in the open, without any air defence, exactly where the Russian army had previously set up. And they are immediately attacked by Russian missiles, as during basic training of the Russian military at the Astrakan firing range.
Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network provides unlimited internet connection in Ukraine. It is vital to the Ukrainian military, as it is used to receive information from US Awacs, unmanned aerial reconnaissance systems. Without such information, the Ukrainian military would be ‘blind and deaf’ to Russian military manoeuvres, tactical air raids and cruise missile launches. Military specialists know that Russia has several jamming devices for the Starlink satellite network.
However, Russia has not touched Starlink and will not do so in the future. Because Stalink is a double-edged sword for President Zelensky. Moscow is capable of executing fourth-generation global psyops offensives aimed at destroying, exhausting and paralysing the organs of power of any enemy state. In Ukraine, Russian psyops are aimed at inoculating the military, but above all the population, with a predefined perception that is Russia’s own vision, contrary to that of the government in Kiev.
The social networks Twitter or Facebook, VK, Telegram, etc., are public channels of data transmission on the internet, nothing more. Except that without Elon Musk’s Starlink network providing internet in Ukraine, there would be no social networks through which Russia could induce a state of unrest and panic among the Ukrainian population. Nor can it form virtual groups of malcontents to prepare protest actions against the Zelensky regime. The technology to fabricate such “spontaneous” gatherings has become widespread in the United States, called “smart mobs”, and is intended to agitate the domestic political situation in a given country.
The destruction of critical infrastructure will have a significant impact on the mood of the Ukrainian population. It is assumed that street protests will be motivated by the fact that Ukrainians can no longer satisfy their basic needs (food, electricity, drinking water, heating, etc.). The Ukrainian population is already fed up with the war, so internal Ukrainian resistance will quickly gain momentum. NATO has been using “psyops” [psychological operations] for a long time. This was seen, for example, in 1999, when NATO bombed Serbia’s infrastructure to provoke street demonstrations against Slobodan Milosevic. With a new Maidan directed against it, the Kiev regime will not survive until spring.